Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.669178 0.768974 0.877924 1.005616 1.151092 1.311589 1.502014
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.565816 0.711094 0.883544 1.102973 1.374390 1.698748 2.115466
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.477197 0.651265 0.874378 1.180380 1.588184 2.111916 2.834533
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.409033 0.602682 0.869171 1.260810 1.819623 2.585917 3.713830
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.340879 0.539742 0.832229 1.290660 1.987510 3.002631 4.588187
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.293964 0.497638 0.816222 1.346091 2.199666 3.513622 5.679779
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.245682 0.443174 0.770635 1.346626 2.326470 3.914615 6.667809
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.212720 0.407159 0.747536 1.378152 2.506286 4.423572 7.904138
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.177685 0.360118 0.696583 1.351746 2.581449 4.767709 8.913763
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.159909 0.341601 0.693127 1.409478 2.814146 5.415764 10.548477
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.146566 0.329040 0.698347 1.483753 3.088132 6.175127 12.493438
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.129522 0.305272 0.676972 1.501040 3.252593 6.749462 14.165221
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.113085 0.279893 0.648604 1.500756 3.385142 7.287720 15.860173
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.099300 0.257743 0.623271 1.502725 3.523091 7.857306 17.704338
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.088065 0.239343 0.603049 1.512642 3.680129 8.489314 19.772760
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.080006 0.227203 0.595289 1.550302 3.906271 9.302711 22.353879
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.070650 0.209635 0.571078 1.543763 4.027217 9.897540 24.526126
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.064580 0.199733 0.564426 1.580144 4.258321 10.777886 27.484287
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.056909 0.183561 0.538318 1.561200 4.347090 11.332107 29.738997
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.051838 0.173987 0.528403 1.584202 4.548605 12.189726 32.859354
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.045266 0.158264 0.498197 1.545237 4.577794 12.617924 34.952976
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042566 0.154398 0.501909 1.604777 4.888880 13.817278 39.213614
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.040632 0.152673 0.511811 1.684607 5.270527 15.255089 44.300980